Search Results for: bond
Lessons on inflation from the past
September 25th, 2020
This article examines two inflationary experiences in the past in an attempt to predict the likely outcome of today’s monetary policies. The German hyperinflation of 1923 demonstrated that it took surprisingly little monetary inflation to collapse the purchasing ...
China is killing the dollar
September 23rd, 2020
In the wake of the Fed’s promise of 23 March to print money without limit in order to rescue the covid-stricken US economy, China changed its policy of importing industrial materials to a more aggressive stance. In examining ...
Demand for safe-haven assets boosted the U.S. dollar causing most Asian currencies to falter
September 22nd, 2020
Stock markets in Indonesia, Philippines and South Korea declined more than 1% on Tuesday as rises in coronavirus cases locally and globally dampened hopes of a swift economic recovery. Indonesian 10-year benchmark yields are up about 2.90 basis points ...
Inflation, deflation and other fallacies
September 15th, 2020
There can be little doubt that macroeconomic policies are failing around the world. The fallacies being exposed are so entrenched that there are bound to be twists and turns yet to come. This article explains the fallacies behind ...
Doubling down on failed policies with central bank digital currencies
August 27th, 2020
Many central banks are researching retail digital currencies, which if implemented, would allow them to issue a new currency directly to the public, managed on a centralised ledger bypassing commercial banks. While there is an element of feeling the ...
Will a weak dollar bail out emerging markets? Nope
August 24th, 2020
Back in the simpler days of 2019, there was this (now completely forgotten) impending crisis in which emerging market countries’ dollar-denominated debt was going to blow up their – and by extension the rest of the world’s – economies. ...
Most Asian currencies struggled for direction on Friday
August 21st, 2020
Most Asian currencies struggled for direction on Friday as the yuan pulled back after hitting a seven-month high against the U.S. dollar, while the Taiwan dollar strengthened on the back of better-than-expected export orders. The yuan often tends to ...
An unexpected systemic crisis is for sure
August 18th, 2020
Downturns in bank credit expansion always lead to systemic problems. We are on the edge of such a downturn, which thanks to everyone’s focus on the coronavirus, is unexpected. We can now identify 23 March as the date ...
Europe stock futures tick lower; Offshore yuan and euro to dollar traded up
August 17th, 2020
Stocks in China climbed after the central bank’s injection of cash raised hopes of more supportive monetary policy, with equities and futures elsewhere trading mixed as investors assessed soured U.S.-China ties. The dollar slipped. The Shanghai Composite was more ...
Gold at $2k+. So why the fuss?
August 10th, 2020
There appears to be no way out for the bullion banks deteriorating $53bn short gold futures positions ($38bn net) on Comex. An earlier attempt between January and March to regain control over paper gold markets has backfired on ...
