Search Results for: interest rates
Post-tariff considerations
May 17th, 2019
President Trump has declared he will extend tariffs of 25% on all America’s imports of Chinese goods. China is responding with tariff increases of its own. The consequences of this action and reaction will be to kick-start higher ...
The US Government Debt Crisis
May 2nd, 2019
This article explains why the US Government is ensnared in a debt trap from which there is no escape. Its finances are spiralling out of control. In the context of a rapidly slowing global economy, the budget deficit ...
The Lesson Of Argentina: You Can’t Stabilize A Bankrupt Economy
May 2nd, 2019
So the U.S. puts Republicans (the party of small government) in charge, and gets… trillion dollar deficits as far as the eye can see AND a revival of socialism among Democrats. Scary as this may seem, the real (and ...
Pound US Dollar exchange rate under pressure
March 21st, 2019
News that Theresa May will only ask for a three month extension to the Brexit deadline saw the Pound Sterling to US Dollar (GBP/USD) exchange rate slump further. Investors were disappointed by May’s decision not to seek a longer ...
Currencies threatened by a credit crisis
February 15th, 2019
In this article I draw attention to the similarities between the current economic situation and that of 1929, and the threat to today’s unbacked currencies. There is the coincidence of trade protectionism with the top of the credit cycle, ...
FCA warns public of investment scams as over £197 million reported losses in 2018
February 7th, 2019
The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) is warning investors to be vigilant to the threat posed by investment scammers, as data from Action Fraud reveals over £197 million1 of reported losses in 2018. Victims were scammed out of over £29,000 ...
U.S. dollar rose against a basket of major currencies
February 6th, 2019
The U.S. dollar rose against a basket of major currencies on Tuesday, as investors awaited President Donald Trump’s State of the Union address for a possible update on the U.S.-China trade war. Continued recovery in investors’ appetite for risk ...
Trade wars – a catalyst for economic crisis
February 1st, 2019
In my last article I used a proven accounting identity to show that the end result of President Trump’s trade tariffs would be to increase the trade deficit, assuming there is no change in the savings rate. The savings ...
Sterling resilient as Britain pursues Brexit deal change
January 31st, 2019
Sterling recovered on Wednesday after declines triggered by the UK parliament’s rejection of amendments to delay Brexit, as investors bet the government would still avoid exiting the European Union without an agreed divorce deal in place. Growing expectations that ...
Weak euro lifts dollar, pound zooms on talk of second Brexit vote
January 18th, 2019
The U.S. dollar rose on Thursday against a euro dragged lower by soft economic data, while the pound took off on hopes of a second referendum on Britain’s membership in the European Union. Against the euro, the dollar strengthened ...