Search Results for: Commodities
Why a bear market will lead to a dollar collapse
March 5th, 2020
Falling equity markets this week are likely to signal the onset of a bear market, responding to a combination of the coronavirus spreading beyond China and persistent indications of a developing recession. This has provoked a flight into ...
Gold’s outlook for 2020
January 3rd, 2020
This article is an overview of the economic conditions that will drive the gold price in 2020 and beyond. The turn of the credit cycle, the effect on government deficits and how they are to be financed are addressed. ...
150 years of bank credit expansion is near its end
November 22nd, 2019
The legal formalisation of the creation of bank credit commenced with England’s 1844 Bank Charter Act. It has led to a regular cycle of expansion and collapse of outstanding bank credit. Erroneously attributed to business, the origin of ...
Money and the theory of exchange
October 23rd, 2019
Evidence mounts that the global credit cycle has turned towards its perennial crisis stage. This time, the gathering forces appear to be on a scale greater than any in living memory and therefore the inflation of all major ...
An Inflationary Depression
October 4th, 2019
Financial markets are ignoring bearish developments in international trade, which coincide with the end of a long expansionary phase for credit. Both empirical evidence from the one occasion these conditions existed in the past and reasoned theory suggest ...
China or US?
September 9th, 2019
China has made some silly errors in its conflict with the US, reflecting the arrogance that often afflicts every state actor. But the appearance that China is being backed into a corner over Huawei, trade tariffs and Hong ...
U.S. stocks advanced; Shares in Hong Kong leaped the most since 2018; Euro to Dollar gained
September 4th, 2019
U.S. stocks advanced as a broad easing of risks across the globe gave investors a reprieve. Treasuries and the dollar declined. The S&P 500 rebounded from Tuesday’s losses along with European and Asian shares as political tensions appeared to ...
Negative interest rates and gold
August 30th, 2019
The reason for persistent strength in the price of gold can be found in the changing relationship between time preference for monetary gold, and a new round of interest rate suppression for the dollar. Evidence mounts that the ...
European shares joined a China-driven global sell-off on Monday
August 5th, 2019
European shares joined a China-driven global sell-off on Monday, dragged down heavily by commodity-linked stocks as anxiety over trade frictions with the United States sent the country’s yuan below 7 per dollar for the first time in a decade. ...
The reasoning behind Gold’s breakout
August 1st, 2019
Gold’s dramatic move above $1400 has caught the investment establishment by surprise. Physical gold ETFs, as a proxy for direct portfolio investment, amount to only 0.05% of the estimated $250 trillion of global investment values. As well as ...
