Search Results for: Consumer Prices Index
The emerging evidence of hyperinflation
October 15th, 2020
Note: all references to inflation are of the quantity of money and not to the effect on prices unless otherwise indicated. In last week’s article I showed why empirical evidence of fiat money collapses are relevant to monetary ...
China is killing the dollar
September 23rd, 2020
In the wake of the Fed’s promise of 23 March to print money without limit in order to rescue the covid-stricken US economy, China changed its policy of importing industrial materials to a more aggressive stance. In examining ...
Inflation, deflation and other fallacies
September 15th, 2020
There can be little doubt that macroeconomic policies are failing around the world. The fallacies being exposed are so entrenched that there are bound to be twists and turns yet to come. This article explains the fallacies behind ...
Doubling down on failed policies with central bank digital currencies
August 27th, 2020
Many central banks are researching retail digital currencies, which if implemented, would allow them to issue a new currency directly to the public, managed on a centralised ledger bypassing commercial banks. While there is an element of feeling the ...
An unexpected systemic crisis is for sure
August 18th, 2020
Downturns in bank credit expansion always lead to systemic problems. We are on the edge of such a downturn, which thanks to everyone’s focus on the coronavirus, is unexpected. We can now identify 23 March as the date ...
Dominant currencies and the limits of exchange rate flexibility
August 3rd, 2020
Faced with an unprecedented shock of collapsing global demand and commodity prices, capital outflows, major supply chain disruptions and a generalized drop in global trade, many emerging markets and developing economies’ (EMDEs) currencies have weakened sharply. Will these currency ...
Explaining the credit cycle
July 24th, 2020
This article summarises why the credit cycle leads to alternate booms and slumps. It is only with this in mind that they can be properly understood as current economic conditions evolve. The reader is taken through three monetary ...
The crisis goes up a gear
June 22nd, 2020
Dollar-denominated financial markets appeared to suffer a dramatic change on or about the 23 March. This article examines the possibility that it marks the beginning of the end for the Fed’s dollar. At this stage of an evolving economic ...
MMT —it’s just neo-Keynesian macroeconomics
June 12th, 2020
The doyenne of MMT, Stephanie Kelton, has published a book this week explaining modern monetary theory. This article examines the foundations of MMT which Kelton explained in an earlier video released last year. Introduction Macroeconomics has become so ...
Unintended consequences of monetary inflation
May 15th, 2020
“In short, the Fed is committed to rescue businesses from the greatest economic catastrophe since the great depression and probably even greater than that, to fund the US Government’s rocketing budget deficits, fund the maintenance of domestic consumption ...