Search Results for: Global equity markets
Inflation, asset and consumer prices
June 25th, 2021
“The Fed finds itself between a rock and a hard place: either it keeps inflating or the whole confidence-based valuation of financial assets collapses. Either it raises interest rates or the dollar collapses.” There has been occasional speculation ...
Technical analysis and market psychology
June 16th, 2021
This article examines the relevance of technical analysis to today’s financial markets. Its genesis springs from two branches, Dow theory and the Elliott wave principal. Originally, Dow theory sprang from an attempt to discern the state of the ...
The end of the LBMA is nigh
May 20th, 2021
Basel 3 is on course to regulate the LBMA out of existence. And with it will go all the associated arbitrage business and position-taking on Comex, because most bullion bank trading desks will cease to exist. The only ...
Why interest rate management fails
April 23rd, 2021
This article explains why attempting to achieve economic outcomes by managing interest rates fails. The basis of monetary interventionist theories ignores the discoveries of earlier free-market thinkers, particularly Say, Turgot and Böhm-Bawerk. It also ignores Gibson’s paradox, which ...
Say’s law and the destruction of savings
April 2nd, 2021
This article explains the fundamental mistake behind Keynes’s General Theory, the vade mecum for all macro and mathematical economists today. It is no exaggeration to say that his casual rejection of Jean-Baptiste Say’s economic theories in his off-hand ...
The ECB’s financial suttee
March 22nd, 2021
The European Commission is failing. Its response to Brexit and the pandemic, where it is now threatening emergency powers in order to secure vaccines is a latest throw of the political dice. Even before this development markets were getting ...
Inflation watch: Beware the ides of March
March 12th, 2021
President Biden has now had his $1.9 trillion stimulus package passed into law, and it will not be the last in the current fiscal year. Covid is not over and is sure to resurge with new variants next winter. ...
European stocks were largely flat on Wednesday
January 27th, 2021
European stocks were largely flat on Wednesday due to losses in technology and mining sectors and as investors stayed on the sidelines ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s policy decision. The pan-European STOXX 600 index was down 0.02% following ...
Don’t dismiss gold and silver…
January 21st, 2021
There is worrying evidence that 2021 will see the end of fiat currencies, led by the US dollar. US dollar money supply has accelerated at an extraordinary rate, a process that will continue. Signals from the markets that ...
Economic and monetary outlook for 2021
January 5th, 2021
The most important event in the new year is likely to be the Fed losing control of its iron grip on markets. The dollar’s declining trend is already well established against other currencies and commodities, leading to this outcome. ...