Search Results for: Shanghai banks
Coronavirus and credit – a perfect storm
February 19th, 2020
This article posits that the spread of the coronavirus coincides with the downturn in the global credit cycle, with potentially catastrophic results. At the time of writing, analysts are still trying to get to grips with the virus’s ...
Gold’s outlook for 2020
January 3rd, 2020
This article is an overview of the economic conditions that will drive the gold price in 2020 and beyond. The turn of the credit cycle, the effect on government deficits and how they are to be financed are addressed. ...
150 years of bank credit expansion is near its end
November 22nd, 2019
The legal formalisation of the creation of bank credit commenced with England’s 1844 Bank Charter Act. It has led to a regular cycle of expansion and collapse of outstanding bank credit. Erroneously attributed to business, the origin of ...
China or US?
September 9th, 2019
China has made some silly errors in its conflict with the US, reflecting the arrogance that often afflicts every state actor. But the appearance that China is being backed into a corner over Huawei, trade tariffs and Hong ...
The financial war escalates
July 3rd, 2019
Behind the scenes, the financial war between America and China is escalating dangerously into a war to secure global financial resources. At a time of growing liquidation of dollar assets by foreigners, the US Treasury’s internal analysis will highlight ...
Cyber wars and all that
May 3rd, 2019
Behind the Huawei story, we must not forget there is a wider financial war being waged by America against China and Russia. Stories about China’s banks being short of dollars are incorrect: the shortage is of inward capital ...
Currencies threatened by a credit crisis
February 15th, 2019
In this article I draw attention to the similarities between the current economic situation and that of 1929, and the threat to today’s unbacked currencies. There is the coincidence of trade protectionism with the top of the credit cycle, ...
Stocks across Asia kicked off the week with strong gains; Events investors focus on this week
January 7th, 2019
Stocks across Asia kicked off the week with strong gains after soothing Federal Reserve comments and an easing of monetary policy in China stoked a renewed appetite for risk assets. The dollar fell to the lowest in more than ...
Pound and Yen fell, Asian stocks pointed to a firm start; These are the main moves
November 12th, 2018
Asian stocks and futures pointed to a firm start for equity markets in London and New York as investors assessed whether the recent rallies can endure. The pound slid as U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May fought to keep her ...
Stocks in Asia retreated at the start of the week; Key financial events coming up this week
November 5th, 2018
Stocks in Asia retreated at the start of the week after optimism over a potential U.S.-China trade deal ebbed in recent days. The yuan dropped, drawing little help from Chinese President Xi Jinping’s pledges to ease trade barriers. Shares ...