Search Results for: US economy
See no evil, speak no evil…
September 1st, 2017
The Jackson Hole speeches of Janet Yellen and Mario Draghi last week were notable for the omission of any comment about the burning issues of the day: …where do the Fed and the ECB respectively think America and the ...
Gold – crossing the Rubicon
August 25th, 2017
Gold is challenging the $1300 level for the third time this year. If it breaks upwards out of this consolidation phase convincingly, it could be an important event, signalling a dollar that will continue to weaken. The factors ...
Why economists cannot forecast recessions
July 28th, 2017
The purpose of this article is to draw the widest attention to the chronic inability of the economic establishment to forecast recessions. Next time you hear an economist make a prediction on mainstream media, your default assumption should ...
End of empire
April 30th, 2017
“Already, China dominates world trade. Her own economy is already significantly larger than that of the US on the PPP estimates. While being the largest consumer of raw materials, China also exports more finished goods by value than any ...
America’s financial war strategy
April 23rd, 2017
America’s renewed desire to escalate military tensions is a front for America’s continual financial war, this time directed at North Korea, Syria and possibly Iran. This is likely to be the opinion of China’s strategic advisors. We analyse the ...
The fateful date
March 12th, 2017
Caesar: What sayest thou to me now? Speak once again. Soothsayer: Beware the ides of March. Caesar: He is a dreamer; let us leave him: pass. This famous advice, according to Shakespeare, was ignored with fatal consequences for Julius ...
Why All Exchange Rates Are Bad
March 2nd, 2017
The economics of exchange rates can be tough sledding. Every now and then, I post on the bulletin board beside my office a quotation from Kenneth Kasa back in 1995: “If you asked a random sample of economists to ...
Global (economic) warming
February 26th, 2017
If the economy was on its uppers, Trumpenomics could be reasonably compared with Reaganomics. But that is not the case. The economy is operating close to capacity, ….any further fiscal and monetary expansion will begin to create …. economic ...
Biggest gasoline glut in 27 years could crash oil markets
February 21st, 2017
Oil prices are stuck in a holding pattern, waiting for more definitive data on what comes next. OPEC compliance is helping keep prices afloat, but rising US oil production is acting as a counterweight. A new problem that has ...
Gold price boosted by hard Brexit fears
January 16th, 2017
Prospect of leaving single market – plus doubts over Donald Trump effect in US – sees traders rush to ‘safe haven’ Gold is being boosted this morning as concerns over a hard Brexit dominate the market commentary. Reports indicate ...